Issues Magazine

Articles about chance

The Monty Hall problem: going with your gut will get your goat

By Adrian Dudek

Suppose you’re on a game show, and you’re given the choice of three doors. Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?

The game show host adjusts his bow tie and flashes you an oh-so-wicked smile as he brings your attention to three closed doors.

“Behind one of these doors is the prize of your dreams!” he announces excitedly. “But oh – do choose wisely! There’s nothing to be won from choosing the other two doors.”